APACP

14:00Sun 11 Oct

ASD

AC Prato 1908 vs ASD San Donato Tavarnelle

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group E, Group E - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. AC Prato 1908 are 2nd on 14 points after 6 games, level on points with Gavorrano, 1 point clear of Lucchese. A win would take them above Gavorrano. ASD San Donato Tavarnelle are 11th on 8 points after 6 games, level on points with Terranuova Traiana, 1 point clear of Montevarchi Calcio. A win would take them above Terranuova Traiana.

Form. AC Prato 1908 have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. ASD San Donato Tavarnelle have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D W.

The numbers. AC Prato 1908 score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. AC Prato 1908 average 13.0 shots (5.0 on target), 8.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game. ASD San Donato Tavarnelle score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. ASD San Donato Tavarnelle average 4.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

Head to head. AC Prato 1908 have won all of the last two meetings. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 22 Mar 2026, it finished AC Prato 1908 1-0 ASD San Donato Tavarnelle.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 63% against the records' 33%.

The read. No firm call: AC Prato 1908 are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AC Prato 1908 the likelier winners; AC Prato 1908 are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AC Prato 1908 1-1 ASD San Donato Tavarnelle (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

AC Prato 1908 or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACP 5 of 5 (100%) · ASD 7 of 9 (78%)88.9%

AC Prato 1908: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · AC Prato 1908: only games against sides at ASD San Donato Tavarnelle's level · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: only games against sides at AC Prato 1908's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACP 5 of 5 (100%) · ASD 9 of 9 (100%)95.4%

AC Prato 1908: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AC Prato 1908: only games against sides at ASD San Donato Tavarnelle's level · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: only games against sides at AC Prato 1908's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACP 5 of 5 (100%) · ASD 9 of 9 (100%)88.2%

AC Prato 1908: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AC Prato 1908: only games against sides at ASD San Donato Tavarnelle's level · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: only games against sides at AC Prato 1908's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACP 4 of 5 (80%) · ASD 6 of 9 (67%)50.2%

AC Prato 1908: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: both scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · AC Prato 1908: only games against sides at ASD San Donato Tavarnelle's level · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: only games against sides at AC Prato 1908's level

AC PRATO 1908 GOALS

AC Prato 1908 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACP 5 of 5 (100%) · ASD 7 of 9 (78%)79.6%

AC Prato 1908 scored in 5 of 5 at home · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · AC Prato 1908: only games against sides at ASD San Donato Tavarnelle's level · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: only games against sides at AC Prato 1908's level

ASD SAN DONATO TAVARNELLE GOALS

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACP 8 of 9 (89%) · ASD 4 of 5 (80%)62.3%

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Prato 1908 conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 82% · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: only games against sides at AC Prato 1908's level · AC Prato 1908: only games against sides at ASD San Donato Tavarnelle's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.6%

AC Prato 1908 goals →

ASD San Donato… goals ↓

0-08%

1-012%

2-010%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AC PRATO 1908DLDWWDWWDW1.90 PPG

ASD SAN DONATO TAVARNELLEWWDDWWDLLD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AC PRATO 1908 HOMExASD SAN DONATO TAVARNELLE AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME1.200.70CONCEDED A GAME0.9040%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE17%8.80CORNERS A GAME4.002.60CARDS A GAME3.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.33POINTS A GAME1.40+0.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+4.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.46LEAGUE GAMES5

AC Prato 1908: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

AC PRATO 1908 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

81%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AC PRATO 1908 OR DRAW

81%

OKAY · 80/85

ASD SAN DONATO TAVARNELLE OR DRAW

42%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AC PRATO 1908xASD SAN DONATO TAVARNELLE

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.400.60CONCEDED A GAME1.402.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

AC PRATO 1908 2 · 100%DRAW 0ASD SAN DONATO TAVARNELLE 0 · 0%

2025-11-09AC Prato 1908 2 – 0 ASD San Donato Tavarnelle

2026-03-22AC Prato 1908 1 – 0 ASD San Donato Tavarnelle

TRENDS

AC Prato 1908 have scored in 90% of their games.

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle have scored in 80% of their games.

AC Prato 1908 kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards