THE READ
Match details. Serie D, Group D, Group D - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Varese FC are 11th on 6 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Pavia, 1 point clear of Varesina. A win would take them above Pavia. Oltrepo FBC are 17th on 3 points after 6 games, level on points with Arconatese, 3 points clear of Pontedera. A win would take them above Arconatese.
Form. Varese FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D. Oltrepo FBC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.
The numbers. Varese FC score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Varese FC average 10.2 shots (4.0 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Oltrepo FBC score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Oltrepo FBC average 5.6 shots (1.8 on target), 2.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Varese FC have won one, drawn one and lost none. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 29 Jan 2025, it finished Varese FC 3-0 Oltrepo FBC.
The case against. Oltrepo FBC's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Varese FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Varese FC the likelier winners; Varese FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Varese FC Over 1.5 Goals (Varese FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Varese FC 2-1 Oltrepo FBC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Varese FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAR 7 of 8 (88%) · OLT 4 of 5 (80%)85.2%
Varese FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Oltrepo FBC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · Varese FC: only games against sides at Oltrepo FBC's level · Oltrepo FBC: only games against sides at Varese FC's level
Varese FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAR 6 of 8 (75%) · OLT 4 of 5 (80%)79%
Varese FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Oltrepo FBC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · Varese FC: only games against sides at Oltrepo FBC's level · Oltrepo FBC: only games against sides at Varese FC's level
Varese FC (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAR 2 of 5 (40%) · OLT 5 of 8 (62%)70.5%
Varese FC won 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Oltrepo FBC lost 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 51% · Varese FC: only games against sides at Oltrepo FBC's level · Oltrepo FBC: only games against sides at Varese FC's level · won 2, refunded 2, lost 4
Varese FC or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAR 3 of 5 (60%) · OLT 4 of 6 (67%)62.2%
Varese FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Oltrepo FBC trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Oltrepo FBC: only games against sides at Varese FC's level
Varese FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAR 4 of 8 (50%) · OLT 3 of 5 (60%)58%
Varese FC: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Oltrepo FBC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 64% · Varese FC: only games against sides at Oltrepo FBC's level · Oltrepo FBC: only games against sides at Varese FC's level
Varese FC or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAR 4 of 8 (50%) · OLT 3 of 5 (60%)54.3%
Varese FC: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Oltrepo FBC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 53% · Varese FC: only games against sides at Oltrepo FBC's level · Oltrepo FBC: only games against sides at Varese FC's level
Varese FC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.87
VAR 2 of 8 (25%) · OLT 2 of 5 (40%)52.8%
Varese FC won 2 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Oltrepo FBC lost 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 40% · Varese FC: only games against sides at Oltrepo FBC's level · Oltrepo FBC: only games against sides at Varese FC's level
GOALS
no price yet
VAR 7 of 8 (88%) · OLT 5 of 5 (100%)93%
Varese FC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Oltrepo FBC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Varese FC: only games against sides at Oltrepo FBC's level · Oltrepo FBC: only games against sides at Varese FC's level
no price yet
VAR 7 of 8 (88%) · OLT 4 of 5 (80%)76.4%
Varese FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Oltrepo FBC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · Varese FC: only games against sides at Oltrepo FBC's level · Oltrepo FBC: only games against sides at Varese FC's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.93
VAR 4 of 8 (50%) · OLT 3 of 5 (60%)51.6%
Varese FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Oltrepo FBC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 58% · Varese FC: only games against sides at Oltrepo FBC's level · Oltrepo FBC: only games against sides at Varese FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAR 5 of 8 (62%) · OLT 4 of 5 (80%)53.2%
Varese FC: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Oltrepo FBC: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Varese FC: only games against sides at Oltrepo FBC's level · Oltrepo FBC: only games against sides at Varese FC's level
VARESE FC GOALS
Varese FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAR 6 of 8 (75%) · OLT 4 of 5 (80%)81.9%
Varese FC scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Oltrepo FBC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · Varese FC: only games against sides at Oltrepo FBC's level · Oltrepo FBC: only games against sides at Varese FC's level
OLTREPO FBC GOALS
Oltrepo FBC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAR 5 of 5 (100%) · OLT 6 of 8 (75%)64.3%
Oltrepo FBC scored in 5 of 5 away · Varese FC conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Oltrepo FBC: only games against sides at Varese FC's level · Varese FC: only games against sides at Oltrepo FBC's level
CARDS
no price yet
VAR 6 of 6 (100%) · OLT 4 of 5 (80%)90%
Varese FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Oltrepo FBC's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Oltrepo FBC: only games against sides at Varese FC's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Varese FC Over 1.5 Goals (Varese FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
TRENDS
Varese FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Oltrepo FBC have scored in 80% of their games.
Varese FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Oltrepo FBC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.