PSPRO

14:00Sun 11 Oct

ASD

Pro Sesto vs Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group D, Group D - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni.

What's at stake. Pro Sesto are 2nd on 13 points after 6 games, 5 points behind Pistoiese, level on points with Pro Patria. Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911 are 13th on 5 points after 5 games, level on points with Varesina, 1 point clear of Coriano. A win would take them above Varesina.

Form. Pro Sesto have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911 have won two, drawn two and lost three of their last seven, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L.

The numbers. Pro Sesto score 2.1 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Pro Sesto average 7.5 shots (3.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 0.8 cards a game. Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911 score 0.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last seven, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911 average 7.2 shots (1.8 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 74% against the records' 48%.

The read. No firm call: Pro Sesto are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Pro Sesto the likelier winners; Pro Sesto are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pro Sesto. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Pro Sesto Over 0.5 Goals (Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Pro Sesto 1-1 Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911 (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PRO 8 of 9 (89%) · ASD 5 of 5 (100%)94.9%

Pro Sesto: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Pro Sesto: only games against sides at Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911's level · Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911: only games against sides at Pro Sesto's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PRO 7 of 9 (78%) · ASD 4 of 5 (80%)87.4%

Pro Sesto: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Pro Sesto: only games against sides at Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911's level · Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911: only games against sides at Pro Sesto's level

Left off the list: Pro Sesto Over 0.5 Goals (Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.4%

Pro Sesto goals →

Asd Solbiatese Calcio… goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-010%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

PRO SESTOLWLDLWWWWD1.70 PPG

ASD SOLBIATESE CALCIO 1911WLLDDLW1.14 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PRO SESTO HOMExASD SOLBIATESE CALCIO 1911 AWAY

2.10SCORED A GAME0.571.00CONCEDED A GAME1.2940%CLEAN SHEETS43%0%FAILED TO SCORE60%4.17CORNERS A GAME3.500.83CARDS A GAME2.00

TRENDS

Pro Sesto have scored in 90% of their games.

Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911 have scored in 43% of their games.

Pro Sesto kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911 kept a clean sheet in 43% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards