PPPRO

14:00Sun 11 Oct

ASD

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio vs ASD Sant'Angelo

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group D, Group D - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio.

What's at stake. Pro Patria Busto Arsizio are 3rd on 13 points after 6 games, level on points with Pro Sesto, level on points with Lentigione. A win would take them above Pro Sesto. ASD Sant'Angelo are 9th on 8 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Correggese, 1 point clear of Pavia. A win would take them above Correggese.

Form. Pro Patria Busto Arsizio have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. ASD Sant'Angelo have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W.

The numbers. Pro Patria Busto Arsizio score 1.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Pro Patria Busto Arsizio average 13.2 shots (4.5 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game. ASD Sant'Angelo score 2.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. ASD Sant'Angelo average 6.2 shots (2.8 on target), 2.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 70% against the records' 46%.

The read. No firm call: Pro Patria Busto Arsizio are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Pro Patria Busto Arsizio the likelier winners; Pro Patria Busto Arsizio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pro Patria Busto Arsizio. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Pro Patria Busto Arsizio 2-1 ASD Sant'Angelo (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PRO 5 of 6 (83%) · ASD 7 of 8 (88%)93%

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Sant'Angelo: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: only games against sides at ASD Sant'Angelo's level · ASD Sant'Angelo: only games against sides at Pro Patria Busto Arsizio's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PRO 4 of 6 (67%) · ASD 7 of 8 (88%)76.6%

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Sant'Angelo: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: only games against sides at ASD Sant'Angelo's level · ASD Sant'Angelo: only games against sides at Pro Patria Busto Arsizio's level

PRO PATRIA BUSTO ARSIZIO GOALS

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PRO 4 of 6 (67%) · ASD 6 of 8 (75%)82.3%

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Sant'Angelo conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: only games against sides at ASD Sant'Angelo's level · ASD Sant'Angelo: only games against sides at Pro Patria Busto Arsizio's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

Pro Patria Busto… goals →

ASD Sant'Angelo goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-010%

3-06%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-12%

5-10.8%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

PRO PATRIA BUSTO ARSIZIOLWWWWWWLDW2.20 PPG

ASD SANT'ANGELODDWWDWDLLW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PRO PATRIA BUSTO ARSIZIO HOMExASD SANT'ANGELO AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME1.600.80CONCEDED A GAME1.2050%CLEAN SHEETS20%33%FAILED TO SCORE33%6.25CORNERS A GAME2.801.25CARDS A GAME3.00

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

37%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

PRO PATRIA BUSTO ARSIZIO OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

ASD SANT'ANGELO OR DRAW

46%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio have scored in 80% of their games.

ASD Sant'Angelo have scored in 80% of their games.

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

ASD Sant'Angelo kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards