Pistoiese FC vs Correggese Calcio 1948
Match details. Serie D, Group D, Group D - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Pistoiese FC are 1st on 18 points after 6 games, 5 points clear of Pro Sesto. Correggese Calcio 1948 are 8th on 10 points after 6 games, level on points with USD Casatese, 2 points clear of Sant'Angelo. A win would take them above USD Casatese.
Form. Pistoiese FC have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. Correggese Calcio 1948 have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D.
The numbers. Pistoiese FC score 3.2 and concede 0.2 a game in their last six at home, with five clean sheets. Pistoiese FC average 9.2 shots (4.5 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Correggese Calcio 1948 score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Correggese Calcio 1948 average 7.8 shots (1.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Pistoiese FC have won three, drawn one and lost one. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Pistoiese FC won two, one was drawn and Correggese Calcio 1948 won one. The last time they met, on 22 Feb 2026, it finished Pistoiese FC 3-0 Correggese Calcio 1948.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 54%.
The read. No firm call: Pistoiese FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Pistoiese FC the likelier winners; Pistoiese FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pistoiese FC; the meetings favour Pistoiese FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%. Three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Pistoiese FC Over 1.5 Goals (Correggese Calcio 1948's own games don't back it (2 of 9)); Pistoiese FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Pistoiese FC 1-1 Correggese Calcio 1948 (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).