PCPAV

14:00Sun 11 Oct

ASD

Pavia Calcio 1911 vs ASD Varesina Calcio

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group D, Group D - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Pavia Calcio 1911 are 10th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Sant'Angelo, 1 point clear of Città di Varese. A win would take them above Sant'Angelo. ASD Varesina Calcio are 12th on 5 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Città di Varese, level on points with Solbiatese. A win would take them above Città di Varese.

Form. Pavia Calcio 1911 have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D D. ASD Varesina Calcio have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L D.

The numbers. Pavia Calcio 1911 score 0.7 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Pavia Calcio 1911 average 6.7 shots (1.7 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. ASD Varesina Calcio score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. ASD Varesina Calcio average 6.7 shots (1.3 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Pavia Calcio 1911 have won none, drawn two and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 1 Mar 2026, it finished Pavia Calcio 1911 1-1 ASD Varesina Calcio.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Pavia Calcio 1911 1-1 ASD Varesina Calcio (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAV 7 of 7 (100%) · ASD 4 of 5 (80%)96.8%

Pavia Calcio 1911: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Varesina Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at ASD Varesina Calcio's level · ASD Varesina Calcio: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAV 7 of 7 (100%) · ASD 4 of 5 (80%)91.2%

Pavia Calcio 1911: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Varesina Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at ASD Varesina Calcio's level · ASD Varesina Calcio: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAV 4 of 7 (57%) · ASD 5 of 5 (100%)89.7%

Pavia Calcio 1911: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Varesina Calcio: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at ASD Varesina Calcio's level · ASD Varesina Calcio: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAV 3 of 7 (43%) · ASD 5 of 5 (100%)68.4%

Pavia Calcio 1911: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Varesina Calcio: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at ASD Varesina Calcio's level · ASD Varesina Calcio: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.8%

Pavia Calcio 1911 goals →

ASD Varesina Calcio goals ↓

0-010%

1-012%

2-08%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-25%

1-27%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.6%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

PAVIA CALCIO 1911LWDWDDDDLL1.10 PPG

ASD VARESINA CALCIODDWLWDLLLD1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PAVIA CALCIO 1911 HOMExASD VARESINA CALCIO AWAY

0.70SCORED A GAME1.300.90CONCEDED A GAME1.6050%CLEAN SHEETS10%60%FAILED TO SCORE33%3.00CORNERS A GAME4.333.00CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

32%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

PAVIA CALCIO 1911 OR DRAW

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

ASD VARESINA CALCIO OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

PAVIA CALCIO 1911 0 · 0%DRAW 2ASD VARESINA CALCIO 0 · 0%

2025-10-26Pavia Calcio 1911 2 – 2 ASD Varesina Calcio

2026-03-01Pavia Calcio 1911 1 – 1 ASD Varesina Calcio

TRENDS

Pavia Calcio 1911 have scored in 60% of their games.

ASD Varesina Calcio have scored in 70% of their games.

Pavia Calcio 1911 kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

ASD Varesina Calcio kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards