Ssd Real Calepina FC vs Villa Dalme Valle Brembana
Match details. Serie D, Group B, Group B - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Ssd Real Calepina FC are 10th on 8 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Brusaporto, level on points with Virtus Verona. A win would take them above Brusaporto. Villa Dalme Valle Brembana are 12th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Virtus Verona, level on points with Pavonese. A win would take them above Virtus Verona.
Form. Ssd Real Calepina FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L D. Villa Dalme Valle Brembana have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L D.
The numbers. Ssd Real Calepina FC score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Ssd Real Calepina FC average 9.3 shots (4.1 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Villa Dalme Valle Brembana score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Villa Dalme Valle Brembana average 9.3 shots (4.0 on target), 7.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Ssd Real Calepina FC have won one, drawn five and lost four. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, two were drawn and Villa Dalme Valle Brembana won two. The last time they met, on 6 Jan 2026, it finished Ssd Real Calepina FC 2-2 Villa Dalme Valle Brembana.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ssd Real Calepina FC 1-1 Villa Dalme Valle Brembana (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).