Match details. Serie D, Group B, Group B - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Pro Palazzolo are 4th on 10 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Piacenza, 1 point clear of Virtus Ciserano Bergamo. A win would take them above Piacenza. Caldiero Terme are 7th on 9 points after 6 games, level on points with Leon, level on points with Milan II. A win would take them above Leon.
Form. Pro Palazzolo have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. Caldiero Terme have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D.
The numbers. Pro Palazzolo score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Pro Palazzolo average 2.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game. Caldiero Terme score 2.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Caldiero Terme average 9.0 shots (4.7 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Pro Palazzolo have won none, drawn two and lost none. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 18 Feb 2024, it finished Pro Palazzolo 1-1 Caldiero Terme.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Caldiero Terme or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Caldiero Terme or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Caldiero Terme or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Pro Palazzolo 1-1 Caldiero Terme (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).