Chisola Calcio vs HSL Derthona
Match details. Serie D, Group A, Group A - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Chisola Calcio are 9th on 8 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Millesimo, level on points with Imperia. A win would take them above Millesimo. HSL Derthona are 3rd on 11 points after 6 games, 3 points behind Biellese, 1 point clear of Ligorna. A win would take them level on points with Biellese.
Form. Chisola Calcio have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L. HSL Derthona have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D.
The numbers. Chisola Calcio score 1.7 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Chisola Calcio average 10.2 shots (3.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. HSL Derthona score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. HSL Derthona average 7.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Chisola Calcio have won four, drawn one and lost three. Six of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Chisola Calcio won two, one was drawn and HSL Derthona won one. The last time they met, on 15 Feb 2026, it finished Chisola Calcio 1-0 HSL Derthona.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%; six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. HSL Derthona's record still gives them 33% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The read. Chisola Calcio to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Chisola Calcio the likelier winners; the meetings favour Chisola Calcio. Six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: HSL Derthona or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Chisola Calcio); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Chisola Calcio 2-1 HSL Derthona (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).