AMASD

14:00Sun 11 Oct

BOR

Asd Millesimo vs Borgosesia Calcio

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group A, Group A - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Asd Millesimo are 8th on 9 points after 6 games, level on points with Saluzzo, 1 point clear of Chisola. A win would take them above Saluzzo. Borgosesia Calcio are 15th on 6 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Sestri Levante, 1 point clear of Bra. A win would take them above Sestri Levante.

Form. Asd Millesimo have won five, drawn none and lost four of their last nine, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. Borgosesia Calcio have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L.

The numbers. Asd Millesimo score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Asd Millesimo average 11.7 shots (6.3 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Borgosesia Calcio score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal.

The case against. Borgosesia Calcio's record still gives them 38% to win.

The read. Asd Millesimo to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Asd Millesimo the likelier winners; Asd Millesimo are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Asd Millesimo or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Asd Millesimo or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Asd Millesimo Over 0.5 Goals (Asd Millesimo's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Asd Millesimo 1-0 Borgosesia Calcio (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Asd Millesimo or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 6 of 6 (100%) · BOR 6 of 8 (75%)87.5%

Asd Millesimo: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Borgosesia Calcio: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Asd Millesimo: only games against sides at Borgosesia Calcio's level · Borgosesia Calcio: only games against sides at Asd Millesimo's level

Asd Millesimo (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 3 of 6 (50%) · BOR 3 of 5 (60%)66.4%

Asd Millesimo won 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Borgosesia Calcio lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 55% · Asd Millesimo: only games against sides at Borgosesia Calcio's level · Borgosesia Calcio: only games against sides at Asd Millesimo's level · won 6, refunded 2, lost 1

Asd Millesimo or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 3 of 6 (50%) · BOR 6 of 8 (75%)62.5%

Asd Millesimo: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Borgosesia Calcio: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Asd Millesimo: only games against sides at Borgosesia Calcio's level · Borgosesia Calcio: only games against sides at Asd Millesimo's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 6 of 6 (100%) · BOR 8 of 8 (100%)95.4%

Asd Millesimo: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Borgosesia Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Asd Millesimo: only games against sides at Borgosesia Calcio's level · Borgosesia Calcio: only games against sides at Asd Millesimo's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 5 of 6 (83%) · BOR 8 of 8 (100%)88.4%

Asd Millesimo: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Borgosesia Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Asd Millesimo: only games against sides at Borgosesia Calcio's level · Borgosesia Calcio: only games against sides at Asd Millesimo's level

Left off the list: Asd Millesimo or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Asd Millesimo or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Asd Millesimo Over 0.5 Goals (Asd Millesimo's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.2%

Asd Millesimo goals →

Borgosesia Calcio goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ASD MILLESIMOWWLWWLWLL1.67 PPG

BORGOSESIA CALCIOLWWLDLDDWL1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ASD MILLESIMO HOMExBORGOSESIA CALCIO AWAY

1.56SCORED A GAME0.801.44CONCEDED A GAME1.5011%CLEAN SHEETS20%50%FAILED TO SCORE50%

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

32%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

ASD MILLESIMO OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

BORGOSESIA CALCIO OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Asd Millesimo have scored in 67% of their games.

Borgosesia Calcio have scored in 50% of their games.

Asd Millesimo kept a clean sheet in 11% of their games.

Borgosesia Calcio kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards