US Catanzaro vs Mantova 1911
Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro. The referee is Giuseppe Mucera.
What's at stake. US Catanzaro are 18th on 3 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Sampdoria, 1 point clear of Juve Stabia. A win would take them above Sampdoria. Mantova 1911 are 3rd on 11 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Sudtirol, level on points with Ascoli. A win would take them above Sudtirol.
Form. US Catanzaro have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. Mantova 1911 have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L W.
The numbers. US Catanzaro score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. US Catanzaro average 11.6 shots (4.1 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Mantova 1911 score 1.7 and concede two a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Mantova 1911 average 12.1 shots (5.5 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings US Catanzaro have won two, drawn two and lost none. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 14 Feb 2026, it finished US Catanzaro 2-0 Mantova 1911: US Catanzaro had 4 shots to 19, 43% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make US Catanzaro the likelier winners, but Mantova 1911 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Mantova 1911; the meetings favour US Catanzaro.
The case against. US Catanzaro's record still gives them 27% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Mantova 1911 or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make US Catanzaro the likelier winners; Mantova 1911 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Mantova 1911; the meetings favour US Catanzaro. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.23, 76% on the records (US Catanzaro: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9; Mantova 1911: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: US Catanzaro 1-2 Mantova 1911 (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).