FSFCS

12:30Sun 11 Oct

KAR

FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Millerntor-Stadion, St. Pauli Burger. The referee is Lukas Benen.

Form. FC St. Pauli have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L L. Karlsruher SC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W.

The numbers. FC St. Pauli score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC St. Pauli average 9.4 shots (4.1 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Karlsruher SC score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Karlsruher SC average 13.0 shots (5.5 on target), 6.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 57% against the records' 32%.

The read. No firm call: FC St. Pauli are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC St. Pauli the likelier winners; FC St. Pauli are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (FC St. Pauli are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FC St. Pauli are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC St. Pauli 2-1 Karlsruher SC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC St. Pauli or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.10

FCS 5 of 5 (100%) · KAR 8 of 9 (89%)95.8%

FC St. Pauli: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Karlsruher SC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · FC St. Pauli: only games against sides at Karlsruher SC's level · Karlsruher SC: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level

FC ST. PAULI GOALS

FC St. Pauli Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.10

FCS 5 of 5 (100%) · KAR 8 of 9 (89%)85.4%

FC St. Pauli scored in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Karlsruher SC conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · FC St. Pauli: only games against sides at Karlsruher SC's level · Karlsruher SC: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level

KARLSRUHER SC GOALS

Karlsruher SC Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 76%

1.32

FCS 6 of 9 (67%) · KAR 4 of 5 (80%)55.2%

Karlsruher SC scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC St. Pauli conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Karlsruher SC: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level · FC St. Pauli: only games against sides at Karlsruher SC's level

HALVES

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.20

FCS 5 of 5 (100%) · KAR 7 of 9 (78%)88.9%

FC St. Pauli: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Karlsruher SC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · on half-time scores · FC St. Pauli: only games against sides at Karlsruher SC's level · Karlsruher SC: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.24

FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · KAR 7 of 9 (78%)78.9%

FC St. Pauli: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Karlsruher SC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · FC St. Pauli: only games against sides at Karlsruher SC's level · Karlsruher SC: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.32

FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · KAR 6 of 9 (67%)73.3%

FC St. Pauli: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Karlsruher SC: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · on half-time scores · FC St. Pauli: only games against sides at Karlsruher SC's level · Karlsruher SC: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.72

FCS 3 of 5 (60%) · KAR 6 of 9 (67%)63.3%

FC St. Pauli: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Karlsruher SC: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · on half-time scores · FC St. Pauli: only games against sides at Karlsruher SC's level · Karlsruher SC: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (FC St. Pauli are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FC St. Pauli are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.6%

FC St. Pauli goals →

Karlsruher SC goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC ST. PAULIDWDLLDDLLL0.70 PPG

KARLSRUHER SCLLDLWDWLDW1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC ST. PAULI HOMExKARLSRUHER SC AWAY

1.33SCORED A GAME1.001.33CONCEDED A GAME2.0010%CLEAN SHEETS10%6.00CORNERS A GAME6.672.40CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.17POINTS A GAME0.80+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.20+1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.21.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.86LEAGUE GAMES5

FC St. Pauli: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

66%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

FC ST. PAULI OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

KARLSRUHER SC OR DRAW

69%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC ST. PAULIxKARLSRUHER SC

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.201.40CONCEDED A GAME2.402.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FC St. Pauli have scored in 90% of their games.

Karlsruher SC have scored in 70% of their games.

FC St. Pauli kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Karlsruher SC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards