Stroemsgodset 2 vs Skjetten
Match details. 3. Division, Group 5. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 10:30 Lagos time.
Form. Stroemsgodset 2 have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. Skjetten have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W.
The numbers. Stroemsgodset 2 score 1.8 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Stroemsgodset 2 average 5.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Skjetten score 2.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Skjetten average 5.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 38% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: Skjetten are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Skjetten are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Skjetten. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 85%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Skjetten or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Stroemsgodset 2 1-2 Skjetten (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).