Al Sahel vs Al-Fahaheel
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Al Sahel are 7th on 4 points after 3 games, 2 points behind Al Nasar, 1 point clear of Al Fahaheel. A win would take them above Al Nasar. Al-Fahaheel are 8th on 3 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Al Sahel, level on points with Al Arabi. A win would take them above Al Sahel.
Form. Al Sahel have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. Al-Fahaheel have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. Al Sahel score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Al Sahel average 9.6 shots (4.2 on target), 5.4 corners and 4.2 cards a game. Al-Fahaheel score 0.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Al-Fahaheel average 9.4 shots (4.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al Sahel have won none, drawn one and lost nine. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, one was drawn and Al-Fahaheel won three. The last time they met, on 2 Mar 2023, it finished Al Sahel 2-3 Al-Fahaheel.
Where it pulls both ways. Al Sahel are the form side, but the meetings favour Al-Fahaheel: in the last ten meetings, Al-Fahaheel won nine and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Al Sahel 1-1 Al-Fahaheel (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).