SLSPO

16:00Sun 11 Oct

BEN

Sporting Lagos FC vs Bendel Insurance FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Mobolaji Johnson Arena, Lagos.

What's at stake. Sporting Lagos FC are 11th on 9 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Kwara United, level on points with Niger Tornadoes. A win would take them above Kwara United. Bendel Insurance FC are 6th on 12 points after 7 games, level on points with Barau FC, level on points with Katsina United. A win would take them above Barau FC.

Form. Sporting Lagos FC have won three, drawn three and lost three of their last nine, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W L. Bendel Insurance FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W.

The numbers. Sporting Lagos FC score 1.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Sporting Lagos FC average 10.3 shots (3.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Bendel Insurance FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Bendel Insurance FC average 9.3 shots (2.7 on target), 1.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Sporting Lagos FC have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 18 Feb 2024, it finished Sporting Lagos FC 1-0 Bendel Insurance FC.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Sporting Lagos FC the likelier winners, but Bendel Insurance FC are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Sporting Lagos FC 1-1 Bendel Insurance FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPO 9 of 9 (100%) · BEN 9 of 10 (90%)96.1%

Sporting Lagos FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bendel Insurance FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Sporting Lagos FC: only games against sides at Bendel Insurance FC's level · Bendel Insurance FC: only games against sides at Sporting Lagos FC's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPO 8 of 9 (89%) · BEN 10 of 10 (100%)94.2%

Sporting Lagos FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bendel Insurance FC: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Sporting Lagos FC: only games against sides at Bendel Insurance FC's level · Bendel Insurance FC: only games against sides at Sporting Lagos FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPO 8 of 9 (89%) · BEN 8 of 10 (80%)90.3%

Sporting Lagos FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bendel Insurance FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Sporting Lagos FC: only games against sides at Bendel Insurance FC's level · Bendel Insurance FC: only games against sides at Sporting Lagos FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.42

SPO 7 of 9 (78%) · BEN 8 of 10 (80%)68.5%

Sporting Lagos FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bendel Insurance FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Sporting Lagos FC: only games against sides at Bendel Insurance FC's level · Bendel Insurance FC: only games against sides at Sporting Lagos FC's level

SPORTING LAGOS FC GOALS

Sporting Lagos FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.67

SPO 6 of 9 (67%) · BEN 6 of 10 (60%)53.9%

Sporting Lagos FC scored under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bendel Insurance FC conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · Sporting Lagos FC: only games against sides at Bendel Insurance FC's level · Bendel Insurance FC: only games against sides at Sporting Lagos FC's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.9%

Sporting Lagos FC goals →

Bendel Insurance FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

SPORTING LAGOS FCWLLWLWDDDD1.30 PPG

BENDEL INSURANCE FCWLDWLWLWLW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SPORTING LAGOS FC HOMExBENDEL INSURANCE FC AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.601.10CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS10%43%FAILED TO SCORE29%4.17CORNERS A GAME1.671.33CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

SPORTING LAGOS FC 3:0 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW

–

85 OF 93

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.29POINTS A GAME1.71+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.29-4.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.87LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 85/90

SPORTING LAGOS FC OR DRAW

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

BENDEL INSURANCE FC OR DRAW

45%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SPORTING LAGOS FCxBENDEL INSURANCE FC

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME2.201.20CONCEDED A GAME1.802.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

SPORTING LAGOS FC 1 · 50%DRAW 0BENDEL INSURANCE FC 1 · 50%

2024-01-20Sporting Lagos FC 1 – 3 Bendel Insurance FC

2024-02-18Sporting Lagos FC 1 – 0 Bendel Insurance FC

TRENDS

Sporting Lagos FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Bendel Insurance FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Sporting Lagos FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Bendel Insurance FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards