NUNAS

16:00Sun 11 Oct

DOM

Nasarawa United vs Doma United FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Lafia Township Stadium, a neutral ground.

What's at stake. Nasarawa United are 15th on 8 points after 7 games, level on points with Shooting Stars, level on points with Abia Warriors. A win would take them above Shooting Stars. Doma United FC are 3rd on 13 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Rivers United, 1 point clear of Ikorodu City. A win would take them above Rivers United.

Form. Nasarawa United have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. Doma United FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W.

The numbers. Nasarawa United score 0.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Nasarawa United average 11.4 shots (3.4 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Doma United FC score 1.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Doma United FC average 13.6 shots (6.4 on target), 6.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 17% against the records' 45%.

The read. No firm call: Doma United FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Doma United FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Doma United FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Nasarawa United 1-1 Doma United FC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NAS 10 of 10 (100%) · DOM 10 of 10 (100%)97.7%

Nasarawa United: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Doma United FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Nasarawa United: only games against sides at Doma United FC's level · Doma United FC: only games against sides at Nasarawa United's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NAS 9 of 10 (90%) · DOM 9 of 10 (90%)93.4%

Nasarawa United: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Doma United FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Nasarawa United: only games against sides at Doma United FC's level · Doma United FC: only games against sides at Nasarawa United's level

DOMA UNITED FC GOALS

Doma United FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.79

NAS 8 of 10 (80%) · DOM 6 of 10 (60%)65.9%

Doma United FC scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Nasarawa United conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Doma United FC: only games against sides at Nasarawa United's level · Nasarawa United: only games against sides at Doma United FC's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NAS 3 of 5 (60%) · DOM 4 of 5 (80%)70%

Nasarawa United's games: over 2.5 cards in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Doma United FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Nasarawa United: only games against sides at Doma United FC's level · Doma United FC: only games against sides at Nasarawa United's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 14.2%

Nasarawa United goals →

Doma United FC goals ↓

0-012%

1-011%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.1%

0-112%

1-114%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.7%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-28%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-40.8%

1-40.8%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

NASARAWA UNITEDLWLLWLDLWD1.10 PPG

DOMA UNITED FCLLDWWWLDLW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NASARAWA UNITED HOMExDOMA UNITED FC AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.101.40CONCEDED A GAME1.2040%CLEAN SHEETS40%14%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.60CORNERS A GAME6.801.40CARDS A GAME2.60

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

NASARAWA UNITED 3:0 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.14POINTS A GAME1.86-0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.29–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.21.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.47LEAGUE GAMES7

Doma United FC: the quality side - more points a game.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

43%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

NASARAWA UNITED OR DRAW

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

DOMA UNITED FC OR DRAW

34%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NASARAWA UNITEDxDOMA UNITED FC

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.601.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Nasarawa United have scored in 80% of their games.

Doma United FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Nasarawa United kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Doma United FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards