Match details. LFF Cup. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 12:15 Lagos time.
Form. FK Kauno Zalgiris have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. FK Minija 2017 have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. FK Kauno Zalgiris score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Kauno Zalgiris average 10.8 shots (5.4 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game. FK Minija 2017 score 2.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. FK Minija 2017 average 15.7 shots (8.7 on target), 8.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 17% against the records' 52%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The read. No firm call: FK Minija 2017 are the better side, but not at this price. FK Minija 2017 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Minija 2017.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); FK Minija 2017 Over 0.5 goals (FK Kauno Zalgiris's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); FK Minija 2017 Over 1.5 Goals (FK Kauno Zalgiris's own games don't back it (2 of 10)). Predicted score: FK Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 FK Minija 2017 (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).