Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos
Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus. The referee is Alejandro Hernandez.
What's at stake. Olympiacos are 5th on 10 points after 5 games, level on points with OFI, 1 point clear of Panetolikos. A win would take them above OFI. Panathinaikos are 1st on 15 points after 5 games, 1 point clear of AEK Athens FC.
Form. Olympiacos have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D. Panathinaikos have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Olympiacos score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Olympiacos average 16.0 shots (5.5 on target), 8.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 63% of the ball. Panathinaikos score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Panathinaikos average 14.8 shots (7.1 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 65% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Olympiacos have won five, drawn four and lost one. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Olympiacos won two, one was drawn and Panathinaikos won one. The last time they met, on 13 May 2026, it finished Olympiacos 1-0 Panathinaikos: Olympiacos had 15 shots to 5, 54% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Olympiacos the likelier winners, but Panathinaikos are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Panathinaikos; the meetings favour Olympiacos.
The case against. Panathinaikos's record still gives them 49% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%. Not everything agrees on goals: nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Olympiacos or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Olympiacos the likelier winners; Panathinaikos are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Panathinaikos; the meetings favour Olympiacos.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Olympiacos Over 0.5 goals (Panathinaikos's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Olympiacos 2-1 Panathinaikos (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).