Match details. J2 League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Arigato Service Dream, Imabari.
What's at stake. FC Imabari are 17th on 10 points after 10 games, level on points with Tochigi City, level on points with Ventforet Kofu. A win would take them above Tochigi City. Vanraure Hachinohe FC are 19th on 10 points after 10 games, level on points with Ventforet Kofu, 2 points clear of Consadole Sapporo. A win would take them above Ventforet Kofu.
Form. FC Imabari have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. Vanraure Hachinohe FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. FC Imabari score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Imabari average 3.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Vanraure Hachinohe FC score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and seven games without a goal. Vanraure Hachinohe FC average 3.6 corners and 0.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings FC Imabari have won seven, drawn none and lost two. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, FC Imabari won four. The last time they met, on 28 Sep 2024, it finished FC Imabari 3-1 Vanraure Hachinohe FC.
The case against. Vanraure Hachinohe FC's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. FC Imabari to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Imabari the likelier winners; FC Imabari are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Imabari; the meetings favour FC Imabari. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, 73% on the records (FC Imabari: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7; Vanraure Hachinohe FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Imabari 1-0 Vanraure Hachinohe FC (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).