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MEXICO - LIGA DE EXPANSION MX
CD Tapatio crestCTCDT
00:00Wed 14 Oct
TEPTepatitlan FC crestTF

CD Tapatio vs Tepatitlan FC

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura - 10. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Akron, Zapopan.

What's at stake. CD Tapatio are 11th on 14 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Tlaxcala, 1 point clear of Dorados. A win would take them above Tlaxcala. Tepatitlan FC are 16th on 7 points after 11 games, 4 points behind Cruz Azul Hidalgo.

Form. CD Tapatio have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. Tepatitlan FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L.

The numbers. CD Tapatio score 2.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CD Tapatio average 3.3 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Tepatitlan FC score 0.9 and concede 2.9 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. Tepatitlan FC average 4.4 corners and 3.2 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings CD Tapatio have won two, drawn three and lost five. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, one was drawn and Tepatitlan FC won three. The last time they met, on 24 Jan 2026, it finished CD Tapatio 0-2 Tepatitlan FC.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CD Tapatio the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour CD Tapatio; the meetings favour Tepatitlan FC. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: CD Tapatio or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Tepatitlan FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Tepatitlan FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: CD Tapatio 1-1 Tepatitlan FC (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · TEP 10 of 10 (100%)94.5%
CD Tapatio: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Tepatitlan FC: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level
Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.13
CDT 3 of 5 (60%) · TEP 9 of 10 (90%)93.8%
CD Tapatio: under 5.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Tepatitlan FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.32
CDT 3 of 5 (60%) · TEP 5 of 10 (50%)85.7%
CD Tapatio: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Tepatitlan FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · TEP 8 of 10 (80%)81.2%
CD Tapatio: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Tepatitlan FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.48
CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · TEP 7 of 10 (70%)54%
CD Tapatio: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Tepatitlan FC: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 1 of 6 · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level
CD TAPATIO GOALS
CD Tapatio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · TEP 10 of 10 (100%)85.4%
CD Tapatio scored in 5 of 5 at home · Tepatitlan FC conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 4 of 6 · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.14
CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · TEP 10 of 10 (100%)93.8%
CD Tapatio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Tepatitlan FC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.23
CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · TEP 7 of 10 (70%)77.9%
CD Tapatio: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Tepatitlan FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level
Left off the list: CD Tapatio or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Tepatitlan FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Tepatitlan FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: CD Tapatio or Tepatitlan FC (no result call); CD Tapatio or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 11.6%
CD Tapatio goals →
Tepatitlan FC goals ↓
0-06%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.9%
0-15%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-10.9%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.3%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
CD TAPATIOLLWLLDWWLW1.30 PPG
TEPATITLAN FCDWLLLLWLLL0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD TAPATIO HOMExTEPATITLAN FC AWAY
1.73SCORED A GAME0.821.73CONCEDED A GAME2.7320%CLEAN SHEETS0%18%FAILED TO SCORE55%3.27CORNERS A GAME4.362.36CARDS A GAME3.18
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
CD TAPATIO TO SCORE
–
136 OF 144
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.
CD TAPATIO OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.10POINTS A GAME0.40-0.10GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-2.30-3.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-11.00.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.210LEAGUE GAMES10
CD Tapatio: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
CD TAPATIO 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
66%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
46%
NO · 85/90
CD TAPATIO OR DRAW
81%
OKAY · 80/85
TEPATITLAN FC OR DRAW
30%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD TAPATIOxTEPATITLAN FC
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME0.402.20CONCEDED A GAME3.403.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE40%5.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.011.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
CD TAPATIO 2 · 20%DRAW 3TEPATITLAN FC 5 · 50%
5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-09-24CD Tapatio 2 – 3 Tepatitlan FC
2023-03-26CD Tapatio 0 – 2 Tepatitlan FC
2023-09-25CD Tapatio 2 – 2 Tepatitlan FC
2024-03-23CD Tapatio 4 – 0 Tepatitlan FC
2024-09-01CD Tapatio 2 – 0 Tepatitlan FC
2024-11-08CD Tapatio 1 – 1 Tepatitlan FC
2024-11-11CD Tapatio 1 – 1 Tepatitlan FC
2025-02-15CD Tapatio 0 – 1 Tepatitlan FC
TRENDS
CD Tapatio have scored in 90% of their games.
Tepatitlan FC have scored in 50% of their games.
CD Tapatio kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Tepatitlan FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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