Match details. J3 League. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time.
Form. Matsumoto Yamaga FC have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. Kagoshima United have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W.
The numbers. Matsumoto Yamaga FC score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game in their last seven at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Matsumoto Yamaga FC average 11.6 shots (4.4 on target), 7.2 corners and 0.9 cards a game. Kagoshima United score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Kagoshima United average 12.2 shots (4.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The read. Kagoshima United to win. Kagoshima United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kagoshima United.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Kagoshima United are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Kagoshima United are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Matsumoto Yamaga FC 0-1 Kagoshima United (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Kagoshima United win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.25
MAT 6 of 7 (86%) · KAG 4 of 5 (80%)84.2%
Kagoshima United: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Kagoshima United: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Kagoshima United's level
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC GOALS
Matsumoto Yamaga FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.38
MAT 3 of 5 (60%) · KAG 6 of 7 (86%)69.7%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC scored in 3 of 5 at home · Kagoshima United conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Kagoshima United's level · Kagoshima United: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level
Matsumoto Yamaga FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.39
MAT 3 of 5 (60%) · KAG 5 of 7 (71%)61.4%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Kagoshima United conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Kagoshima United's level · Kagoshima United: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level
KAGOSHIMA UNITED GOALS
Kagoshima United Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.26
MAT 6 of 7 (86%) · KAG 4 of 5 (80%)77.6%
Kagoshima United scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Matsumoto Yamaga FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Kagoshima United: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Kagoshima United's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Kagoshima United are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Kagoshima United are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–18.9%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC goals →
Kagoshima United goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FCLWWDLDDDDL1.10 PPG
KAGOSHIMA UNITEDLWDWWWLWWD2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC HOMExKAGOSHIMA UNITED AWAY
0.89SCORED A GAME2.111.22CONCEDED A GAME1.1130%CLEAN SHEETS20%7.22CORNERS A GAME5.330.90CARDS A GAME1.60
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
KAGOSHIMA UNITED TO SCORE
–
136 OF 144
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.
DRAW OR KAGOSHIMA UNITED (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.89POINTS A GAME2.50-0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00+1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.21.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.69LEAGUE GAMES8
Kagoshima United: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
KAGOSHIMA UNITED 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
60%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
84%
NO · 85/90
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC OR DRAW
31%
NO · 80/85
KAGOSHIMA UNITED OR DRAW
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FCxKAGOSHIMA UNITED
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME2.201.00CONCEDED A GAME1.201.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.440%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE100%2.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.813.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES13.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Matsumoto Yamaga FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Kagoshima United have scored in 70% of their games.
Matsumoto Yamaga FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Kagoshima United kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards