Club Cipolletti vs CA Alvarado
Match details. Torneo Federal A, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at La Visera de Cemento, Cipolletti.
What's at stake. Club Cipolletti are 12th on 25 points after 16 games, level on points with Juventud Antoniana, level on points with Sarmiento de La Banda. A win would take them above Juventud Antoniana. CA Alvarado are 5th on 27 points after 16 games, 3 points behind San Martin Formosa, level on points with Gimnasia Chivilcoy. A win would take them level on points with San Martin Formosa. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Club Cipolletti have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. In this competition Club Cipolletti have gone W L W W D D. CA Alvarado have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W. In this competition CA Alvarado have gone W D D L W W.
The numbers. Club Cipolletti score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Club Cipolletti average 7.6 shots (4.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. CA Alvarado score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Alvarado average 13.2 shots (5.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Club Cipolletti have won four, drawn four and lost two. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Club Cipolletti won two, one was drawn and CA Alvarado won one. The last time they met, on 13 Sep 2026, it finished Club Cipolletti 1-0 CA Alvarado: Club Cipolletti had 10 shots to 9, 48% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 45%.
The read. No firm call: Club Cipolletti are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Both teams' records favour Club Cipolletti; the meetings favour Club Cipolletti. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.15, 75% on the records (Club Cipolletti: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; CA Alvarado: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.26. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CA Alvarado or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Club Cipolletti); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Club Cipolletti 1-1 CA Alvarado (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).