Chemnitzer FC vs FC Rot-Weiss Erfurt
Match details. Regionalliga Northeast, Nordost - 12. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Chemnitzer FC are 2nd on 26 points after 11 games, 1 point behind FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, 2 points clear of BFC Dynamo. A win would take them above FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. FC Rot-Weiss Erfurt are 1st on 27 points after 11 games, 1 point clear of Chemnitzer FC.
Form. Chemnitzer FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D. In this competition Chemnitzer FC have gone W W L W D W. FC Rot-Weiss Erfurt have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. In this competition FC Rot-Weiss Erfurt have gone W D W W D W.
The numbers. Chemnitzer FC score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Chemnitzer FC average 1.1 corners and 0.1 cards a game. FC Rot-Weiss Erfurt score 2.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. FC Rot-Weiss Erfurt average 0.9 corners and 0.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Chemnitzer FC have won three, drawn three and lost four. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Chemnitzer FC won one, two were drawn and FC Rot-Weiss Erfurt won one. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2026, it finished Chemnitzer FC 0-4 FC Rot-Weiss Erfurt.
The case against. Chemnitzer FC's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. FC Rot-Weiss Erfurt to win. An open game. FC Rot-Weiss Erfurt are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour FC Rot-Weiss Erfurt. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Chemnitzer FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs FC Rot-Weiss Erfurt); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Chemnitzer FC 1-2 FC Rot-Weiss Erfurt (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).