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ITALY - SERIE D, GROUP D
Tropical Coriano crestTCTRO
15:00Sun 11 Oct
ACCAC Crema 1908 crestAC

Tropical Coriano vs AC Crema 1908

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group D, Group D - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Tropical Coriano are 14th on 4 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Solbiatese, level on points with Crema. A win would take them above Solbiatese. AC Crema 1908 are 15th on 4 points after 6 games, level on points with Coriano, 1 point clear of Arconatese. A win would take them above Coriano.

Form. Tropical Coriano have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D. AC Crema 1908 have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.

The numbers. Tropical Coriano score 0.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Tropical Coriano average 6.7 shots (2.5 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game. AC Crema 1908 score 0.7 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and six games without a goal. AC Crema 1908 average 5.5 shots (2.2 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last three meetings Tropical Coriano have won two, drawn none and lost one. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished Tropical Coriano 0-2 AC Crema 1908.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. AC Crema 1908's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. Tropical Coriano to win. Their goals for and against make Tropical Coriano the likelier winners; Tropical Coriano are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tropical Coriano.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Tropical Coriano 1-0 AC Crema 1908 (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Tropical Coriano or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 7 of 8 (88%) · ACC 8 of 9 (89%)89.9%
Tropical Coriano: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Crema 1908: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 3 of 3 · Tropical Coriano: only games against sides at AC Crema 1908's level · AC Crema 1908: only games against sides at Tropical Coriano's level
Tropical Coriano (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 3 of 6 (50%) · ACC 5 of 7 (71%)66.9%
Tropical Coriano won 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AC Crema 1908 lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 2 of 3 · Tropical Coriano: only games against sides at AC Crema 1908's level · AC Crema 1908: only games against sides at Tropical Coriano's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 1
Tropical Coriano or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 3 of 5 (60%) · ACC 3 of 5 (60%)66.7%
Tropical Coriano scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AC Crema 1908 trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tropical Coriano: only games against sides at AC Crema 1908's level · AC Crema 1908: only games against sides at Tropical Coriano's level
Tropical Coriano 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 3 of 5 (60%) · ACC 3 of 5 (60%)60%
Tropical Coriano scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AC Crema 1908 trailed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tropical Coriano: only games against sides at AC Crema 1908's level · AC Crema 1908: only games against sides at Tropical Coriano's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 8 of 8 (100%) · ACC 9 of 9 (100%)94.9%
Tropical Coriano: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Crema 1908: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 3 · Tropical Coriano: only games against sides at AC Crema 1908's level · AC Crema 1908: only games against sides at Tropical Coriano's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 8 of 8 (100%) · ACC 7 of 9 (78%)92.1%
Tropical Coriano: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Crema 1908: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 3 of 3 · Tropical Coriano: only games against sides at AC Crema 1908's level · AC Crema 1908: only games against sides at Tropical Coriano's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 8 of 8 (100%) · ACC 8 of 9 (89%)87.5%
Tropical Coriano: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Crema 1908: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 3 of 3 · Tropical Coriano: only games against sides at AC Crema 1908's level · AC Crema 1908: only games against sides at Tropical Coriano's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 8 of 8 (100%) · ACC 5 of 9 (56%)73.2%
Tropical Coriano: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Crema 1908: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 3 of 3 · Tropical Coriano: only games against sides at AC Crema 1908's level · AC Crema 1908: only games against sides at Tropical Coriano's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.68
TRO 7 of 8 (88%) · ACC 4 of 9 (44%)51.3%
Tropical Coriano: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Crema 1908: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · H2H 1 of 3 · Tropical Coriano: only games against sides at AC Crema 1908's level · AC Crema 1908: only games against sides at Tropical Coriano's level
TROPICAL CORIANO GOALS
Tropical Coriano Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 6 of 8 (75%) · ACC 6 of 9 (67%)79.4%
Tropical Coriano scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Crema 1908 conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 2 of 3 · Tropical Coriano: only games against sides at AC Crema 1908's level · AC Crema 1908: only games against sides at Tropical Coriano's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 5 of 5 (100%) · ACC 3 of 5 (60%)80%
Tropical Coriano's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AC Crema 1908's games: over 2.5 cards in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Tropical Coriano: only games against sides at AC Crema 1908's level · AC Crema 1908: only games against sides at Tropical Coriano's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 10.8%
Tropical Coriano goals →
AC Crema 1908 goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
TROPICAL CORIANOWWDLWDDLLW1.50 PPG
AC CREMA 1908DLWDDLLLLW0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
TROPICAL CORIANO HOMExAC CREMA 1908 AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME0.700.80CONCEDED A GAME1.7040%CLEAN SHEETS40%25%FAILED TO SCORE67%3.67CORNERS A GAME5.332.17CARDS A GAME2.33
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
67%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
43%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
TROPICAL CORIANO OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
AC CREMA 1908 OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3
TROPICAL CORIANO 2 · 67%DRAW 0AC CREMA 1908 1 · 33%
2 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS
2025-10-12Tropical Coriano 2 – 1 AC Crema 1908
2026-02-15Tropical Coriano 2 – 1 AC Crema 1908
2026-05-10Tropical Coriano 0 – 2 AC Crema 1908
TRENDS
Tropical Coriano have scored in 70% of their games.
AC Crema 1908 have scored in 40% of their games.
Tropical Coriano kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
AC Crema 1908 kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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