Match details. Serie D, Group D, Group D - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Tropical Coriano are 14th on 4 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Solbiatese, level on points with Crema. A win would take them above Solbiatese. AC Crema 1908 are 15th on 4 points after 6 games, level on points with Coriano, 1 point clear of Arconatese. A win would take them above Coriano.
Form. Tropical Coriano have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D. AC Crema 1908 have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. Tropical Coriano score 0.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Tropical Coriano average 6.7 shots (2.5 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game. AC Crema 1908 score 0.7 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and six games without a goal. AC Crema 1908 average 5.5 shots (2.2 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Tropical Coriano have won two, drawn none and lost one. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished Tropical Coriano 0-2 AC Crema 1908.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. AC Crema 1908's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Tropical Coriano to win. Their goals for and against make Tropical Coriano the likelier winners; Tropical Coriano are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tropical Coriano.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Tropical Coriano 1-0 AC Crema 1908 (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).