SPSCD

14:00Sun 11 Oct

SIE

SIE

SCD Progresso vs Siena 1904

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group E, Group E - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. SCD Progresso are 16th on 3 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Sasso Marconi Zola, 1 point clear of Grassina. A win would take them above Sasso Marconi Zola. Siena 1904 are 8th on 10 points after 6 games, level on points with Seravezza, 2 points clear of Ternana. A win would take them above Seravezza.

Form. SCD Progresso have won one, drawn none and lost five of their last six, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Siena 1904 have won three, drawn one and lost two of their last six, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W.

The numbers. SCD Progresso score 0.7 and concede 2.5 a game over their last six, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. SCD Progresso average 5.7 shots (3.3 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Siena 1904 score 2.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets. Siena 1904 average 16.3 shots (6.0 on target), 10.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

The case against. SCD Progresso's record still gives them 25% to win.

The read. Siena 1904 to win. An open game. Siena 1904 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Siena 1904. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 83%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Siena 1904 or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Siena 1904 Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: SCD Progresso 1-2 Siena 1904 (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Siena 1904 or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SCD 6 of 6 (100%) · SIE 6 of 6 (100%)100%

Siena 1904: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · SCD Progresso: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Siena 1904: only games against sides at SCD Progresso's level · SCD Progresso: only games against sides at Siena 1904's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SCD 6 of 6 (100%) · SIE 6 of 6 (100%)92.5%

SCD Progresso: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Siena 1904: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · SCD Progresso: only games against sides at Siena 1904's level · Siena 1904: only games against sides at SCD Progresso's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SCD 6 of 6 (100%) · SIE 6 of 6 (100%)75.5%

SCD Progresso: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Siena 1904: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · SCD Progresso: only games against sides at Siena 1904's level · Siena 1904: only games against sides at SCD Progresso's level

SIENA 1904 GOALS

Siena 1904 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SCD 6 of 6 (100%) · SIE 6 of 6 (100%)73.7%

Siena 1904 scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · SCD Progresso conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Siena 1904: only games against sides at SCD Progresso's level · SCD Progresso: only games against sides at Siena 1904's level

Left off the list: Siena 1904 or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (65%) and the records (92%) are 27 points apart, and nothing settles it); Siena 1904 Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (28%) and the records (67%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the numbers (61%) and the records (92%) are 31 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.2%

SCD Progresso goals →

Siena 1904 goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 6

SCD PROGRESSOLWLLLL0.50 PPG

SIENA 1904DWLWLW1.67 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SCD PROGRESSO HOMExSIENA 1904 AWAY

0.67SCORED A GAME2.172.50CONCEDED A GAME1.330%CLEAN SHEETS33%50%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.33CORNERS A GAME10.332.00CARDS A GAME1.67

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.50POINTS A GAME1.67-1.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.83–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.86LEAGUE GAMES6

Siena 1904: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

SIENA 1904 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

73%

NO · 85/90

SCD PROGRESSO OR DRAW

81%

OKAY · 80/85

SIENA 1904 OR DRAW

42%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SCD PROGRESSOxSIENA 1904

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME2.402.60CONCEDED A GAME1.403.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

SCD Progresso have scored in 70% of their games.

Siena 1904 have scored in 100% of their games.

SCD Progresso failed to score in 50% of their games.

Siena 1904 failed to score in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague tablecornerscards