Match details. China League 1, Regular Season - 26. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ningbo Cixi Stadium.
What's at stake. Ningbo Professional FC are 11th on 29 points after 25 games, 1 point behind Dalian Huayi, 1 point clear of Suzhou Dongwu. A win would take them above Dalian Huayi. Nanjing City are 14th on 21 points after 25 games, 3 points behind Heilongjiang Lava Spring, 5 points clear of Meizhou Kejia. A win would take them level on points with Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
Form. Ningbo Professional FC have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition Ningbo Professional FC have gone L L L W L D. Nanjing City have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Nanjing City have gone L L L L L L.
The numbers. Ningbo Professional FC score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Nanjing City score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 13 Jun 2026, it finished Ningbo Professional FC 2-1 Nanjing City.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The case against. Nanjing City's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Ningbo Professional FC to win. Their goals for and against make Ningbo Professional FC the likelier winners; Ningbo Professional FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ningbo Professional FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Nanjing City Under 1.5 goals (Ningbo Professional FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (Ningbo Professional FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Ningbo Professional FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Ningbo Professional FC 1-0 Nanjing City (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).