Match details. China League 1, Regular Season - 26. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Guangxi Sports Center, Nanning.
What's at stake. Guangxi Hengchen FC are 2nd on 45 points after 25 games, 12 points behind Guangzhou E-Power, level on points with Nantong Zhiyun. Shenzhen Juniors FC are 4th on 44 points after 25 games, 1 point behind Nantong Zhiyun, 5 points clear of Shaanxi Union. A win would take them above Nantong Zhiyun.
Form. Guangxi Hengchen FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. In this competition Guangxi Hengchen FC have gone L W W W L W. Shenzhen Juniors FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W. In this competition Shenzhen Juniors FC have gone L D D W W W.
The numbers. Guangxi Hengchen FC score 1.4 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Shenzhen Juniors FC score 1.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Guangxi Hengchen FC have won one, drawn two and lost none. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 14 Jun 2026, it finished Guangxi Hengchen FC 1-1 Shenzhen Juniors FC.
The case against. Shenzhen Juniors FC's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. Guangxi Hengchen FC or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Guangxi Hengchen FC the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%. Two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Guangxi Hengchen FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Guangxi Hengchen FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Guangxi Hengchen FC 1-1 Shenzhen Juniors FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).