Match details. Jp3. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time.
Form. Tochigi SC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. Renofa Yamaguchi have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. Tochigi SC score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Tochigi SC average 10.7 shots (3.7 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Renofa Yamaguchi average 12.8 shots (4.9 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Tochigi SC have won five, drawn three and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, three were drawn and Renofa Yamaguchi won one.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Renofa Yamaguchi to win. Renofa Yamaguchi are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Renofa Yamaguchi.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Tochigi SC 1-2 Renofa Yamaguchi (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).