PXPOL

15:00Sun 11 Oct

EXT

Police Xi vs Extension Gunners

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Police Xi are 3rd on 7 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Sua Flamingoes, level on points with TAFIC. A win would take them above Sua Flamingoes. Extension Gunners are 8th on 6 points after 3 games, level on points with Nico United, 1 point clear of Orapa United. A win would take them above Nico United.

Form. Police Xi have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D. Extension Gunners have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W.

The numbers. Police Xi score 0.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and four games without a goal. Police Xi average 14.0 shots (4.4 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Extension Gunners score 1.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Extension Gunners average 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Police Xi have won five, drawn one and lost four. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Police Xi won one, one was drawn and Extension Gunners won two. The last time they met, on 4 Feb 2026, it finished Police Xi 0-1 Extension Gunners.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 22% against the records' 54%.

The read. No firm call: Extension Gunners are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Extension Gunners are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Extension Gunners; the meetings favour Extension Gunners. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Extension Gunners Over 0.5 Goals (Police Xi's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Police Xi 1-1 Extension Gunners (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Extension Gunners or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POL 7 of 10 (70%) · EXT 10 of 10 (100%)88.8%

Extension Gunners: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Police Xi: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · Extension Gunners: only games against sides at Police Xi's level · Police Xi: only games against sides at Extension Gunners's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POL 10 of 10 (100%) · EXT 10 of 10 (100%)100%

Police Xi: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Extension Gunners: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Police Xi: only games against sides at Extension Gunners's level · Extension Gunners: only games against sides at Police Xi's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POL 9 of 10 (90%) · EXT 9 of 10 (90%)88.3%

Police Xi: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Extension Gunners: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Police Xi: only games against sides at Extension Gunners's level · Extension Gunners: only games against sides at Police Xi's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POL 9 of 10 (90%) · EXT 8 of 10 (80%)84.6%

Police Xi: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Extension Gunners: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Police Xi: only games against sides at Extension Gunners's level · Extension Gunners: only games against sides at Police Xi's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

POL 7 of 10 (70%) · EXT 6 of 10 (60%)65.4%

Police Xi: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Extension Gunners: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6 · Police Xi: only games against sides at Extension Gunners's level · Extension Gunners: only games against sides at Police Xi's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - NoLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POL 7 of 10 (70%) · EXT 7 of 10 (70%)69.2%

Police Xi: not both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Extension Gunners: not both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · Police Xi: only games against sides at Extension Gunners's level · Extension Gunners: only games against sides at Police Xi's level

Left off the list: Extension Gunners Over 0.5 Goals (Police Xi's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 14.2%

Police Xi goals →

Extension Gunners goals ↓

0-014%

1-011%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-114%

1-114%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-28%

1-28%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.0%

0-33%

1-33%

2-31%

3-30.4%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-40.8%

1-40.8%

2-40.4%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

POLICE XILLDLWDLWWD1.20 PPG

EXTENSION GUNNERSWLWDLWWWWL1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

POLICE XI HOMExEXTENSION GUNNERS AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME1.400.90CONCEDED A GAME1.1060%CLEAN SHEETS50%33%FAILED TO SCORE33%5.80CORNERS A GAME6.001.80CARDS A GAME2.00

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

POLICE XI 5 · 50%DRAW 1EXTENSION GUNNERS 4 · 40%

5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2018-12-12Police Xi 1 – 0 Extension Gunners

2019-05-04Police Xi 3 – 1 Extension Gunners

2019-09-22Police Xi 2 – 1 Extension Gunners

2020-01-11Police Xi 4 – 1 Extension Gunners

2022-01-18Police Xi 1 – 4 Extension Gunners

2022-04-15Police Xi 1 – 2 Extension Gunners

2022-10-30Police Xi 2 – 0 Extension Gunners

2023-05-31Police Xi 0 – 1 Extension Gunners

TRENDS

Police Xi have scored in 60% of their games.

Extension Gunners have scored in 80% of their games.

Police Xi kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

Extension Gunners kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards