Match details. Super League. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 09:30 Lagos time.
Form. PSS Sleman have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. PSM Makassar have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L.
The numbers. PSS Sleman score three and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. PSS Sleman average 10.9 shots (2.4 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.4 cards a game. PSM Makassar score 1.3 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. PSM Makassar average 11.4 shots (4.2 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The case against. PSM Makassar's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. PSS Sleman to win. An open game. PSS Sleman are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour PSS Sleman. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 85%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: PSS Sleman 2-1 PSM Makassar (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).