Match details. K3 League, Regular Season - 24. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gyeongju Civic Stadium.
What's at stake. Gyeongju FC are 5th on 35 points after 23 games, 5 points behind Busan Transportation, 1 point clear of Dangjin Citizen. FC Mokpo are 12th on 24 points after 23 games, 3 points behind Gangneung City, 4 points clear of Yangpyeong. A win would take them level on points with Gangneung City. Gyeongju FC have nothing left to play for. FC Mokpo have nothing left to play for.
Form. Gyeongju FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition Gyeongju FC have gone W W W W D W. FC Mokpo have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. In this competition FC Mokpo have gone W W L W L L.
The numbers. Gyeongju FC score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Gyeongju FC average 2.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game. FC Mokpo score 1.2 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FC Mokpo average 2.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Gyeongju FC have won four, drawn three and lost three. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Gyeongju FC won three and FC Mokpo won one. The last time they met, on 17 May 2026, it finished Gyeongju FC 1-0 FC Mokpo.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%; eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Gyeongju FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Gyeongju FC the likelier winners; Gyeongju FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gyeongju FC; the meetings favour Gyeongju FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Gyeongju FC or Draw at 1.17, 77% on the records (Gyeongju FC unbeaten in 9 of 10; FC Mokpo failed to win 4 of 5 away). Leave: Gyeongju FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Gyeongju FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Gyeongju FC 1-0 FC Mokpo (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).