Match details. Northern Premier League Premier. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. AFC Emley have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Gainsborough Trinity have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D.
The numbers. AFC Emley score 0.5 and concede 2.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. AFC Emley average 6.3 corners and 0.8 cards a game. Gainsborough Trinity score three and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Gainsborough Trinity average 2.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. AFC Emley's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Gainsborough Trinity to win. An open game. Gainsborough Trinity are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gainsborough Trinity. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, 78% on the records (AFC Emley: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6; Gainsborough Trinity: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5). Leave: Gainsborough Trinity Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AFC Emley 1-2 Gainsborough Trinity (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Gainsborough Trinity or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFC 5 of 5 (100%) · GAI 5 of 6 (83%)91.7%
Gainsborough Trinity: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Emley: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Gainsborough Trinity: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Gainsborough Trinity's level
Gainsborough Trinity or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFC 4 of 5 (80%) · GAI 5 of 6 (83%)81.7%
Gainsborough Trinity: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Emley: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Gainsborough Trinity: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Gainsborough Trinity's level
Double Chance: Draw or Gainsborough TrinityLEANPAGE ONLY
1.20
AFC 3 of 5 (60%) · GAI 6 of 6 (100%)67.3%
Gainsborough Trinity unbeaten in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Emley failed to win 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Gainsborough Trinity: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Gainsborough Trinity's level
Gainsborough Trinity (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.31
AFC 4 of 7 (57%) · GAI 6 of 6 (100%)61.2%
Gainsborough Trinity won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AFC Emley lost 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 79% · won 6, refunded 4, lost 0
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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AFC 5 of 6 (83%) · GAI 5 of 5 (100%)93.4%
AFC Emley: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Gainsborough Trinity: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Gainsborough Trinity's level · Gainsborough Trinity: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.21
AFC 5 of 6 (83%) · GAI 5 of 5 (100%)77.9%
AFC Emley: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Gainsborough Trinity: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Gainsborough Trinity's level · Gainsborough Trinity: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level
GAINSBOROUGH TRINITY GOALS
Gainsborough Trinity Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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AFC 3 of 5 (60%) · GAI 5 of 6 (83%)77.8%
Gainsborough Trinity scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Emley conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Gainsborough Trinity: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Gainsborough Trinity's level
Left off the list: Gainsborough Trinity Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (33%) and the records (53%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–28.9%
AFC Emley goals →
Gainsborough Trinity goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-18%
1-112%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
AFC EMLEYLLLLLDDLDD0.40 PPG
GAINSBOROUGH TRINITYWLDWDLWLWD1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AFC EMLEY HOMExGAINSBOROUGH TRINITY AWAY
0.91SCORED A GAME2.002.00CONCEDED A GAME1.4040%BOTH SCORED70%20%CLEAN SHEETS10%6.33CORNERS A GAME2.000.83CARDS A GAME1.75
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.91POINTS A GAME1.60-1.09GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.60-1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.411LEAGUE GAMES10
Gainsborough Trinity: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
GAINSBOROUGH TRINITY 0:2 HANDICAP
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373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
75%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
88%
OKAY · 85/90
AFC EMLEY OR DRAW
37%
NO · 80/85
GAINSBOROUGH TRINITY OR DRAW
80%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AFC EMLEYxGAINSBOROUGH TRINITY
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME2.802.20CONCEDED A GAME1.403.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%80%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
AFC Emley have scored in 40% of their games.
Gainsborough Trinity have scored in 80% of their games.
AFC Emley kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Gainsborough Trinity kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards