Match details. Vtora Liga. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Pirin Blagoevgrad have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. PFC Spartak Pleven have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W.
The numbers. FC Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.5 and concede 2.7 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and seven games without a goal. FC Pirin Blagoevgrad average 3.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game. PFC Spartak Pleven score 0.8 and concede 2.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. PFC Spartak Pleven average 4.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The case against. FC Pirin Blagoevgrad's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. PFC Spartak Pleven to win. PFC Spartak Pleven are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour PFC Spartak Pleven.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: PFC Spartak Pleven or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); PFC Spartak Pleven Over 0.5 Goals (PFC Spartak Pleven's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: FC Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-1 PFC Spartak Pleven (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).