Match details. 3. Division, Group 4. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Varhaug have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W. Madla have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W.
The numbers. Varhaug score 2.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Varhaug average 4.5 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Madla score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Madla average 5.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Varhaug's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. Madla to win. An open game. Madla are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Madla. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Varhaug Under 1.5 goals (Varhaug's own games don't back it (3 of 9)). Predicted score: Varhaug 1-2 Madla (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Madla or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAR 7 of 8 (88%) · MAD 9 of 9 (100%)93.8%
Madla: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Varhaug: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Madla: only games against sides at Varhaug's level · Varhaug: only games against sides at Madla's level
Madla or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAR 5 of 8 (62%) · MAD 6 of 9 (67%)64.6%
Madla: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Varhaug: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Madla: only games against sides at Varhaug's level · Varhaug: only games against sides at Madla's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAR 9 of 9 (100%) · MAD 8 of 8 (100%)93.7%
Varhaug: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Madla: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Varhaug: only games against sides at Madla's level · Madla: only games against sides at Varhaug's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAR 9 of 9 (100%) · MAD 7 of 8 (88%)78.7%
Varhaug: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Madla: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Varhaug: only games against sides at Madla's level · Madla: only games against sides at Varhaug's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
VAR 6 of 9 (67%) · MAD 4 of 8 (50%)54.7%
Varhaug: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Madla: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · Varhaug: only games against sides at Madla's level · Madla: only games against sides at Varhaug's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.33
VAR 5 of 9 (56%) · MAD 4 of 8 (50%)58.6%
Varhaug: both scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Madla: both scored in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 53% · Varhaug: only games against sides at Madla's level · Madla: only games against sides at Varhaug's level
VARHAUG GOALS
Varhaug Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAR 8 of 9 (89%) · MAD 5 of 8 (62%)77.1%
Varhaug scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Madla conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Varhaug: only games against sides at Madla's level · Madla: only games against sides at Varhaug's level
MADLA GOALS
Madla Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAR 7 of 8 (88%) · MAD 6 of 9 (67%)75.2%
Madla scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Varhaug conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Madla: only games against sides at Varhaug's level · Varhaug: only games against sides at Madla's level
Left off the list: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Varhaug Under 1.5 goals (Varhaug's own games don't back it (3 of 9))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–28.1%
Varhaug goals →
Madla goals ↓
0-06%
1-08%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-17%
1-112%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-41.0%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
VARHAUGLWDLWWLWWL1.60 PPG
MADLALLWDWWWDDW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
VARHAUG HOMExMADLA AWAY
1.86SCORED A GAME2.591.55CONCEDED A GAME1.2360%BOTH SCORED50%30%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.45CORNERS A GAME5.922.64CARDS A GAME1.85
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.56POINTS A GAME2.30+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+2.00-5.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES10
Madla: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
57%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
54%
NO · 85/90
VARHAUG OR DRAW
46%
NO · 80/85
MADLA OR DRAW
69%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
VARHAUGxMADLA
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME2.602.20CONCEDED A GAME0.604.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Varhaug have scored in 90% of their games.
Madla have scored in 80% of their games.
Varhaug kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Madla kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards