Match details. Liga 1, Clausura - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo. The referee is Kevin Ortega.
What's at stake. Comerciantes Unidos are 14th on 9 points after 10 games, 1 point behind FC Cajamarca, level on points with Club Deportivo Los Chankas. A win would take them above FC Cajamarca. Juan Pablo II College are 6th on 18 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Alianza Atletico, level on points with FBC Melgar. A win would take them above Alianza Atletico.
Form. Comerciantes Unidos have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. In this competition Comerciantes Unidos have gone L L D L W L. Juan Pablo II College have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W. In this competition Juan Pablo II College have gone W W D W W L.
The numbers. Comerciantes Unidos score 1.7 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Comerciantes Unidos average 13.2 shots (4.8 on target), 3.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Juan Pablo II College score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Juan Pablo II College average 14.0 shots (4.9 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Comerciantes Unidos have won two, drawn two and lost none. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 27 Jun 2026, it finished Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 Juan Pablo II College.
The case against. Comerciantes Unidos's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Juan Pablo II College or the draw. An open game. Juan Pablo II College are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, 76% on the records (Comerciantes Unidos: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Juan Pablo II College: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Comerciantes Unidos Over 0.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Juan Pablo II College 1UP (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Comerciantes Unidos 1-2 Juan Pablo II College (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).