Match details. Cymru Premier, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:15 Lagos time. It is played at Essity Stadium, Flint. The referee is J. A. Jones.
What's at stake. Flint Town United are 14th on 8 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Ammanford AFC, 2 points clear of Trefelin. A win would take them above Ammanford AFC. Colwyn Bay are 6th on 22 points after 12 games, 3 points behind Barry Town, 1 point clear of Cardiff MET. A win would take them level on points with Barry Town.
Form. Flint Town United have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. In this competition Flint Town United have gone W W L L D L. Colwyn Bay have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition Colwyn Bay have gone L W W W W L.
The numbers. Flint Town United score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Flint Town United average 0.8 corners and 0.6 cards a game. Colwyn Bay score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Colwyn Bay average 1.2 corners and 0.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Flint Town United have won three, drawn none and lost two. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Flint Town United won two and Colwyn Bay won two. The last time they met, on 1 Jan 2026, it finished Flint Town United 2-1 Colwyn Bay.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Colwyn Bay are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Flint Town United. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Flint Town United's record still gives them 48% to win.
The read. Colwyn Bay or the draw. Colwyn Bay are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Flint Town United.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Colwyn Bay Over 0.5 goals (Colwyn Bay's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Flint Town United 1-1 Colwyn Bay (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).