Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers
Match details. Premiership, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stangmore Park, Dungannon.
What's at stake. Dungannon Swifts are 7th on 13 points after 9 games, level on points with Carrick Rangers, 1 point clear of Ballymena United. A win would take them above Carrick Rangers. Carrick Rangers are 6th on 13 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Crusaders FC, level on points with Dungannon Swifts. A win would take them above Crusaders FC.
Form. Dungannon Swifts have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. Carrick Rangers have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D L. In this competition Carrick Rangers have gone W L L D L L.
The numbers. Dungannon Swifts score one and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Dungannon Swifts average 10.2 shots (4.9 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Carrick Rangers score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Carrick Rangers average 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Dungannon Swifts have won six, drawn one and lost three. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Dungannon Swifts won one, one was drawn and Carrick Rangers won two. The last time they met, on 6 May 2026, it finished Dungannon Swifts 3-1 Carrick Rangers.
Where it pulls both ways. Carrick Rangers are the form side, but the meetings favour Dungannon Swifts: in the last ten meetings, Dungannon Swifts won six, Carrick Rangers won three and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 75% on the records (Dungannon Swifts: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Carrick Rangers: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Dungannon Swifts Over 0.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Carrick Rangers or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Dungannon Swifts 2-1 Carrick Rangers (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).