Match details. Kategoria Superiore. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. Partizani Tirana have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. KF Tirana have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L L.
The numbers. Partizani Tirana score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Partizani Tirana average 11.3 shots (3.8 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game. KF Tirana score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. KF Tirana average 8.4 shots (3.7 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.38, 76% on the records (Partizani Tirana: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; KF Tirana: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.28. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Partizani Tirana or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); KF Tirana or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Partizani Tirana 2-2 KF Tirana (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).