Match details. Torneo Federal A. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. CA Juventud Unida Universitario San Luis have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. CA Sol de America de Formosa have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W.
The numbers. CA Juventud Unida Universitario San Luis score 0.7 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and four games without a goal. CA Juventud Unida Universitario San Luis average 8.2 shots (4.0 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game. CA Sol de America de Formosa score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CA Sol de America de Formosa average 2.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The case against. CA Sol de America de Formosa's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. CA Juventud Unida Universitario San Luis to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CA Juventud Unida Universitario San Luis the likelier winners; both teams' records favour CA Juventud Unida Universitario San Luis. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CA Sol de America de Formosa or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs CA Juventud Unida Universitario San Luis); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Juventud Unida Universitario San Luis 1-0 CA Sol de America de Formosa (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).