Match details. Erovnuli Liga 2. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Samtredia have won seven, drawn none and lost one of their last eight league games, 2.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W W W. Sioni Bolnisi have won three, drawn two and lost four of their last nine league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L D D W.
The numbers. FC Samtredia score 2.9 and concede 0.5 a game over their last eight, with five clean sheets. FC Samtredia average 5.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Sioni Bolnisi score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet. Sioni Bolnisi average 4.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The case against. Sioni Bolnisi's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. FC Samtredia to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Samtredia the likelier winners; FC Samtredia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Samtredia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Samtredia 2-1 Sioni Bolnisi (10% chance).
The agreed story. FC Samtredia or the draw, an open game.
The league run. FC Samtredia: one defeat in their last five league games (W L W W W). Sioni Bolnisi: lost their last two league games (L L D D W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FC Samtredia or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · SIO 7 of 8 (88%)86.3%
FC Samtredia scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sioni Bolnisi trailed or failed to win in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at Sioni Bolnisi's level · Sioni Bolnisi: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level
FC Samtredia or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 7 of 8 (88%) · SIO 8 of 9 (89%)80.9%
FC Samtredia: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sioni Bolnisi: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at Sioni Bolnisi's level · Sioni Bolnisi: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level
FC Samtredia (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 7 of 8 (88%) · SIO 4 of 7 (57%)76.1%
FC Samtredia won 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Sioni Bolnisi lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 72% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at Sioni Bolnisi's level · Sioni Bolnisi: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level · won 8, refunded 1, lost 2
FC Samtredia or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 7 of 8 (88%) · SIO 7 of 9 (78%)72.6%
FC Samtredia: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sioni Bolnisi: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at Sioni Bolnisi's level · Sioni Bolnisi: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level
FC Samtredia 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · SIO 7 of 8 (88%)63.8%
FC Samtredia scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sioni Bolnisi trailed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at Sioni Bolnisi's level · Sioni Bolnisi: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level
FC Samtredia to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.76
FCS 7 of 8 (88%) · SIO 4 of 9 (44%)46.5%
FC Samtredia won 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sioni Bolnisi lost 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at Sioni Bolnisi's level · Sioni Bolnisi: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 8 of 8 (100%) · SIO 9 of 9 (100%)93.7%
FC Samtredia: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sioni Bolnisi: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at Sioni Bolnisi's level · Sioni Bolnisi: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level
FC SAMTREDIA GOALS
FC Samtredia Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 7 of 8 (88%) · SIO 8 of 9 (89%)84.2%
FC Samtredia scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sioni Bolnisi conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at Sioni Bolnisi's level · Sioni Bolnisi: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level
Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); FC Samtredia or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.9%
FC Samtredia goals →
Sioni Bolnisi goals ↓
0-06%
1-010%
2-010%
3-06%
4-03%
5-01%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-25%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-31.0%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.2%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
FC SAMTREDIALWLWWWWWWW2.40 PPG
SIONI BOLNISILLDDWWLLLW1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC SAMTREDIA HOMExSIONI BOLNISI AWAY
1.78SCORED A GAME1.301.48CONCEDED A GAME1.2630%BOTH SCORED70%60%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.96CORNERS A GAME4.162.33CARDS A GAME2.12
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.57POINTS A GAME1.14+2.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.43+6.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.22.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.07LEAGUE GAMES7
FC Samtredia: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
FC SAMTREDIA 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
PRICE NOT KEPT
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
75%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 85/90
FC SAMTREDIA OR DRAW
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
SIONI BOLNISI OR DRAW
25%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FC SAMTREDIAxSIONI BOLNISI
5GAMES53.40SCORED A GAME1.600.40CONCEDED A GAME1.803.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
FC Samtredia have scored in 90% of their games.
Sioni Bolnisi have scored in 80% of their games.
FC Samtredia kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Sioni Bolnisi kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards