Match details. Prva Liga, Rep of Srpska. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. FK Zvijezda 09 have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. FK Drina Zvornik have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D.
The numbers. FK Zvijezda 09 score 0.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FK Zvijezda 09 average 14.8 shots (4.4 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game. FK Drina Zvornik score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. FK Drina Zvornik average 9.2 shots (4.0 on target), 5.5 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
The case against. FK Zvijezda 09's record still gives them 26% to win.
The read. FK Drina Zvornik to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Drina Zvornik the likelier winners; FK Drina Zvornik are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Drina Zvornik. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. Best bet: FK Drina Zvornik (Draw No Bet) at 1.44, 75% on the records (FK Drina Zvornik won 4 of 6 (draws left out); FK Zvijezda 09 lost 4 of 5 at home (draws left out)). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); FK Drina Zvornik Over 1.5 Goals (FK Drina Zvornik's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FK Zvijezda 09 1-2 FK Drina Zvornik (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).