Match details. 2. Lig. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Sakaryaspor have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Iskenderun FK have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. Sakaryaspor score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Sakaryaspor average 9.9 shots (4.3 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Iskenderun FK score 0.4 and concede 3.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Iskenderun FK average 1.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The case against. Iskenderun FK's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Sakaryaspor to win. Their goals for and against make Sakaryaspor the likelier winners; Sakaryaspor are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sakaryaspor.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Sakaryaspor or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); 1st Half Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Sakaryaspor 1-0 Iskenderun FK (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).