CA Boca Unidos Corrientes vs CA Bartolome Mitre
Match details. Torneo Federal A. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Boca Unidos Corrientes have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. CA Bartolome Mitre have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L.
The numbers. CA Boca Unidos Corrientes score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CA Boca Unidos Corrientes average 8.8 shots (3.2 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game. CA Bartolome Mitre score 0.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. CA Bartolome Mitre average 8.7 shots (3.9 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. CA Bartolome Mitre's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. CA Boca Unidos Corrientes to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CA Boca Unidos Corrientes the likelier winners; CA Boca Unidos Corrientes are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Boca Unidos Corrientes. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 75% on the records (CA Boca Unidos Corrientes: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; CA Bartolome Mitre: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: CA Boca Unidos Corrientes or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Boca Unidos Corrientes 1-0 CA Bartolome Mitre (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).