CA Linqueno vs Douglas Haig
Match details. Torneo Federal A. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. CA Linqueno have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. Douglas Haig have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W.
The numbers. CA Linqueno score 1.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CA Linqueno average 5.1 shots (1.6 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Douglas Haig score 1.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Douglas Haig average 13.1 shots (4.1 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.12, 75% on the records (CA Linqueno: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Douglas Haig: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: CA Linqueno or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Douglas Haig or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Linqueno 1-1 Douglas Haig (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).