FSFKS

14:00Sun 11 Oct

FKV

FK Skopje vs FK Vardar Skopje

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. 1. MFL, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. FK Skopje are 10th on 3 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Bashkimi Kumanovo. A win would take them above Bashkimi Kumanovo. FK Vardar Skopje are 4th on 14 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Tikveš, 1 point clear of Shkëndija Haraçinë. A win would take them above Tikveš.

Form. FK Skopje have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D D. FK Vardar Skopje have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D.

The numbers. FK Skopje score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. FK Skopje average 7.2 shots (3.9 on target), 2.1 corners and 3.0 cards a game. FK Vardar Skopje score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. FK Vardar Skopje average 12.3 shots (4.2 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings FK Skopje have won one, drawn two and lost one. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 2 May 2018, it finished FK Skopje 1-0 FK Vardar Skopje.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 75% against the records' 49%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.

The read. No firm call: FK Vardar Skopje are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make FK Vardar Skopje the likelier winners; FK Vardar Skopje are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Vardar Skopje.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (FK Vardar Skopje are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FK Vardar Skopje are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FK Skopje 1-1 FK Vardar Skopje (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FKS 8 of 9 (89%) · FKV 8 of 8 (100%)92.7%

FK Skopje: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FK Vardar Skopje: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 3 of 4 · FK Skopje: only games against sides at FK Vardar Skopje's level · FK Vardar Skopje: only games against sides at FK Skopje's level

FK VARDAR SKOPJE GOALS

FK Vardar Skopje Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FKS 6 of 8 (75%) · FKV 7 of 9 (78%)76%

FK Vardar Skopje scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FK Skopje conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 2 of 4 · FK Vardar Skopje: only games against sides at FK Skopje's level · FK Skopje: only games against sides at FK Vardar Skopje's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FKS 9 of 9 (100%) · FKV 7 of 8 (88%)93.8%

FK Skopje: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FK Vardar Skopje: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · FK Skopje: only games against sides at FK Vardar Skopje's level · FK Vardar Skopje: only games against sides at FK Skopje's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.14

FKS 9 of 9 (100%) · FKV 5 of 8 (62%)81.3%

FK Skopje: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FK Vardar Skopje: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · on half-time scores · FK Skopje: only games against sides at FK Vardar Skopje's level · FK Vardar Skopje: only games against sides at FK Skopje's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FKS 7 of 9 (78%) · FKV 6 of 8 (75%)76.4%

FK Skopje's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FK Vardar Skopje's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · FK Skopje: only games against sides at FK Vardar Skopje's level · FK Vardar Skopje: only games against sides at FK Skopje's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (FK Vardar Skopje are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FK Vardar Skopje are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.4%

FK Skopje goals →

FK Vardar Skopje goals ↓

0-07%

1-06%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.3%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-112%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-210%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-35%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.7%

1-50.7%

2-50.4%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

FK SKOPJEWWLDLDDLLL0.90 PPG

FK VARDAR SKOPJEWWLLWDWWDW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FK SKOPJE HOMExFK VARDAR SKOPJE AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME2.101.30CONCEDED A GAME0.9020%CLEAN SHEETS40%62%FAILED TO SCORE25%2.10CORNERS A GAME4.703.00CARDS A GAME1.80

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

FK VARDAR SKOPJE TO SCORE

–

136 OF 144

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.

DRAW OR FK VARDAR SKOPJE (1UP)

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137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.50POINTS A GAME2.20-1.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.40–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.26LEAGUE GAMES5

FK Vardar Skopje: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

FK VARDAR SKOPJE 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

34%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

86%

OKAY · 85/90

FK SKOPJE OR DRAW

95%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

FK VARDAR SKOPJE OR DRAW

81%

OKAY · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FK SKOPJExFK VARDAR SKOPJE

5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME2.401.20CONCEDED A GAME1.001.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

FK SKOPJE 1 · 25%DRAW 2FK VARDAR SKOPJE 1 · 25%

1 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2017-09-17FK Skopje 1 – 1 FK Vardar Skopje

2017-11-05FK Skopje 0 – 3 FK Vardar Skopje

2018-03-11FK Skopje 0 – 0 FK Vardar Skopje

2018-05-02FK Skopje 1 – 0 FK Vardar Skopje

TRENDS

FK Skopje have scored in 50% of their games.

FK Vardar Skopje have scored in 80% of their games.

FK Skopje kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

FK Vardar Skopje kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards