Match details. Torneo Federal A. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Defensores de Vilelas have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. Gimnasia de Chivilcoy have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W.
The numbers. CA Defensores de Vilelas score 2.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CA Defensores de Vilelas average 7.9 shots (3.1 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Gimnasia de Chivilcoy score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Gimnasia de Chivilcoy average 7.0 shots (3.5 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CA Defensores de Vilelas the likelier winners, but Gimnasia de Chivilcoy are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Defensores de Vilelas.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CA Defensores de Vilelas or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Gimnasia de Chivilcoy or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Defensores de Vilelas 1-1 Gimnasia de Chivilcoy (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAD 4 of 5 (80%) · GIM 5 of 5 (100%)95.3%
CA Defensores de Vilelas: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Gimnasia de Chivilcoy: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · CA Defensores de Vilelas: only games against sides at Gimnasia de Chivilcoy's level · Gimnasia de Chivilcoy: only games against sides at CA Defensores de Vilelas's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.18
CAD 3 of 5 (60%) · GIM 5 of 5 (100%)74.1%
CA Defensores de Vilelas: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Gimnasia de Chivilcoy: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CA Defensores de Vilelas: only games against sides at Gimnasia de Chivilcoy's level · Gimnasia de Chivilcoy: only games against sides at CA Defensores de Vilelas's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.53
CAD 2 of 5 (40%) · GIM 4 of 5 (80%)52.4%
CA Defensores de Vilelas: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Gimnasia de Chivilcoy: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · CA Defensores de Vilelas: only games against sides at Gimnasia de Chivilcoy's level · Gimnasia de Chivilcoy: only games against sides at CA Defensores de Vilelas's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.27
CAD 4 of 5 (80%) · GIM 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%
CA Defensores de Vilelas: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Gimnasia de Chivilcoy: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · CA Defensores de Vilelas: only games against sides at Gimnasia de Chivilcoy's level · Gimnasia de Chivilcoy: only games against sides at CA Defensores de Vilelas's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAD 4 of 7 (57%) · GIM 5 of 6 (83%)70.2%
CA Defensores de Vilelas's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gimnasia de Chivilcoy's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · CA Defensores de Vilelas: only games against sides at Gimnasia de Chivilcoy's level · Gimnasia de Chivilcoy: only games against sides at CA Defensores de Vilelas's level
Left off the list: CA Defensores de Vilelas or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Gimnasia de Chivilcoy or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113%
CA Defensores de… goals →
Gimnasia de Chivilcoy goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CA DEFENSORES DE VILELASWLWDWLDLWD1.50 PPG
GIMNASIA DE CHIVILCOYDLDWWWWDLL1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CA DEFENSORES DE VILELAS HOMExGIMNASIA DE CHIVILCOY AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME0.801.20CONCEDED A GAME0.6040%CLEAN SHEETS60%3.71CORNERS A GAME5.673.00CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.38POINTS A GAME1.62+0.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.62-0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.61.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES8
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
66%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
40%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CA DEFENSORES DE VILELAS OR DRAW
80%
OKAY · 80/85
GIMNASIA DE CHIVILCOY OR DRAW
48%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CA DEFENSORES DE VILELASxGIMNASIA DE CHIVILCOY
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME0.801.40CONCEDED A GAME0.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CA Defensores de Vilelas have scored in 60% of their games.
Gimnasia de Chivilcoy have scored in 70% of their games.
CA Defensores de Vilelas kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Gimnasia de Chivilcoy kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards