PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur
Match details. Eredivisie, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle. The referee is Sander van der Eijk.
What's at stake. PEC Zwolle are 16th on 4 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Utrecht, 2 points clear of ADO Den Haag. A win would take them above Utrecht. SC Cambuur are 14th on 5 points after 7 games, level on points with Telstar, level on points with Utrecht. A win would take them above Telstar.
Team news. PEC Zwolle are without F. Krastev (achilles tendon injury), Y. Namli (knee injury), I. Cissoko (injury), R. Thomas (injury), F. Krastev (achilles tendon injury), Y. Namli (knee injury). SC Cambuur are without W. Asselman (injury), D. Visser (knee injury), N. Binder (injury), W. Asselman (injury), D. Visser (knee injury), N. Binder (injury). N. Binder is their main creator.
Form. PEC Zwolle have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. SC Cambuur have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L L.
The numbers. PEC Zwolle score 0.4 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. PEC Zwolle average 7.8 shots (3.2 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 40% of the ball. SC Cambuur score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. SC Cambuur average 10.6 shots (3.9 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings PEC Zwolle have won two, drawn one and lost four. Six of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, PEC Zwolle won one, one was drawn and SC Cambuur won two. The last time they met, on 12 Feb 2022, it finished PEC Zwolle 4-3 SC Cambuur: PEC Zwolle had 12 shots to 11, 42% of the ball.
The case against. SC Cambuur without N. Binder (creator). PEC Zwolle's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. SC Cambuur or the draw. An open game. SC Cambuur are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SC Cambuur. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%. Six of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 76% on the records (PEC Zwolle: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; SC Cambuur: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: SC Cambuur or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); SC Cambuur or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: PEC Zwolle 1-2 SC Cambuur (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).