Elche CF vs Celta
Match details. Elche CF take on Celta in LaLiga Regular Season - 8. The match kicks off at 13:00 Lagos time on Sun 11 Oct at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche, a neutral ground. Javier Alberola Rojas is the referee.
What's at stake. Elche CF sit 18th on 5 points after 7 games, level with Levante and 1 point clear of Valencia. A win takes them above Levante. Celta are 15th on 7 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Osasuna and level on points with Racing Santander. A win moves Celta above Osasuna.
Team news. Elche CF are missing F. Redondo Solari through a red card and Y. Santiago with a knee injury. Celta have their own absentees. They are without A. Antanon with an ankle injury, J. El Abdellaoui and M. Roman with knee injuries, plus C. Starfelt through injury.
Form. Elche CF have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, taking 0.9 points a game. Their last five results read W L D L L. Celta have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, averaging 1.1 points a game. Their last five stand at W L D D D.
The numbers. Elche CF score 1.4 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. They average 8.5 shots (4.0 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Celta score one and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Celta average 9.2 shots (3.4 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings, Elche CF have won two, drawn two and lost six. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Elche CF won one and Celta won three. They last met on 3 May 2026, finishing Elche CF 1-3 Celta, with Elche CF having 15 shots to 6, 67% of the ball and three yellow cards.
The case against. For me, Elche CF's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Celta to win. A tight game. Celta are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Celta. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Celta at 1.41, 71% on the records (Celta unbeaten in 7 of 9; Elche CF failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Celta or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Celta or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Elche CF 0-1 Celta (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).