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MEXICO - LIGA PRIMERA PREMIER
Jaguares FC crestJFJAG
01:00Sun 11 Oct
INTInter Playa Del Carmen crestIP

Jaguares FC vs Inter Playa Del Carmen

CLASS D
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THE READ

Match details. Liga Primera Premier, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Jaguares FC are 9th on 7 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Los Cabos United, level on points with Montañeses. A win would take them above Los Cabos United. Inter Playa Del Carmen are 15th on 4 points after 5 games, level on points with Lobos ULMX, 1 point clear of Tapachula. A win would take them above Lobos ULMX.

Form. Jaguares FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D W. Inter Playa Del Carmen have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L.

The numbers. Jaguares FC score 0.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Jaguares FC average 7.5 shots (2.8 on target), 3.6 corners and 3.9 cards a game. Inter Playa Del Carmen score 1.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Inter Playa Del Carmen average 8.5 shots (3.5 on target), 3.2 corners and 3.7 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last three meetings Jaguares FC have won none, drawn two and lost one. None of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 31 Aug 2025, it finished Jaguares FC 0-1 Inter Playa Del Carmen.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%. Three of the last three meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Jaguares FC 1-1 Inter Playa Del Carmen (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Jaguares FC the favourite), a tight game.

The league run. Inter Playa Del Carmen: up and down in the league (W L D L L).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 5 of 5 (100%) · INT 5 of 5 (100%)96.3%
Jaguares FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Playa Del Carmen: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 3 · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Inter Playa Del Carmen's level · Inter Playa Del Carmen: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 5 of 5 (100%) · INT 4 of 5 (80%)90.1%
Jaguares FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Playa Del Carmen: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 3 · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Inter Playa Del Carmen's level · Inter Playa Del Carmen: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
JAGUARES FC GOALS
Jaguares FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 4 of 5 (80%) · INT 5 of 5 (100%)59.8%
Jaguares FC scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Playa Del Carmen conceded in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 1 of 3 · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Inter Playa Del Carmen's level · Inter Playa Del Carmen: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.18
JAG 4 of 5 (80%) · INT 5 of 5 (100%)92.4%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Playa Del Carmen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Inter Playa Del Carmen's level · Inter Playa Del Carmen: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 4 of 5 (80%) · INT 4 of 5 (80%)83.9%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Playa Del Carmen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Inter Playa Del Carmen's level · Inter Playa Del Carmen: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.46
JAG 3 of 5 (60%) · INT 4 of 5 (80%)75.3%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Playa Del Carmen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Inter Playa Del Carmen's level · Inter Playa Del Carmen: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 4 of 5 (80%) · INT 4 of 5 (80%)68.6%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Playa Del Carmen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 0 of 3 · on half-time scores · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Inter Playa Del Carmen's level · Inter Playa Del Carmen: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 6 of 8 (75%) · INT 4 of 6 (67%)70.8%
Jaguares FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Playa Del Carmen's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71%
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13%
Jaguares FC goals →
Inter Playa Del Carmen goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
JAGUARES FCLLLDDWDLDW1.00 PPG
INTER PLAYA DEL CARMENWWDDLLLDLW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
JAGUARES FC HOMExINTER PLAYA DEL CARMEN AWAY
0.80SCORED A GAME1.301.50CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%CLEAN SHEETS40%20%FAILED TO SCORE60%3.62CORNERS A GAME3.173.88CARDS A GAME3.67
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
64%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
43%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
JAGUARES FC OR DRAW
81%
OKAY · 80/85
INTER PLAYA DEL CARMEN OR DRAW
47%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3
JAGUARES FC 0 · 0%DRAW 2INTER PLAYA DEL CARMEN 1 · 33%
1 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED
1 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS
0 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-10-06Jaguares FC 1 – 1 Inter Playa Del Carmen
2025-02-08Jaguares FC 0 – 0 Inter Playa Del Carmen
2025-08-31Jaguares FC 0 – 1 Inter Playa Del Carmen
TRENDS
Jaguares FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Inter Playa Del Carmen have scored in 60% of their games.
Jaguares FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Inter Playa Del Carmen kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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