ADARA

18:00Sat 10 Oct

FCT

Aragvi Dusheti vs FC Telavi

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Erovnuli Liga 2. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.

Form. Aragvi Dusheti have won three, drawn one and lost four of their last eight league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L L D. FC Telavi have won one, drawn five and lost two of their last eight league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D D L L.

The numbers. Aragvi Dusheti score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets. Aragvi Dusheti average 4.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FC Telavi score 0.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Telavi average 4.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Aragvi Dusheti 1-1 FC Telavi (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (FC Telavi the favourite), a tight game.

The league run. Aragvi Dusheti: up and down in the league (W L L L D). FC Telavi: unbeaten in their last three league games but drawing, the last three all draws (D D D L L).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARA 6 of 8 (75%) · FCT 8 of 8 (100%)97%

Aragvi Dusheti: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Telavi: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Telavi's level · FC Telavi: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARA 6 of 8 (75%) · FCT 8 of 8 (100%)91.7%

Aragvi Dusheti: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Telavi: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Telavi's level · FC Telavi: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level

ARAGVI DUSHETI GOALS

Aragvi Dusheti Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARA 7 of 8 (88%) · FCT 6 of 8 (75%)59.2%

Aragvi Dusheti scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Telavi conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Telavi's level · FC Telavi: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level

FC TELAVI GOALS

FC Telavi Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCT 6 of 8 (75%) · ARA 6 of 8 (75%)49.9%

FC Telavi scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Aragvi Dusheti conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · FC Telavi: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Telavi's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

Aragvi Dusheti goals →

FC Telavi goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ARAGVI DUSHETIWLLLDDWWLW1.40 PPG

FC TELAVIDDDLLWDDLW1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ARAGVI DUSHETI HOMExFC TELAVI AWAY

1.11SCORED A GAME1.071.37CONCEDED A GAME0.9360%BOTH SCORED50%30%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.12CORNERS A GAME4.052.04CARDS A GAME2.71

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

PRICE NOT KEPT

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.25POINTS A GAME1.00-0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.38+3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.50.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.68LEAGUE GAMES8

Aragvi Dusheti: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

41%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

ARAGVI DUSHETI OR DRAW

70%

NO · 80/85

FC TELAVI OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ARAGVI DUSHETIxFC TELAVI

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.002.00CONCEDED A GAME1.803.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE80%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–7.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Aragvi Dusheti have scored in 80% of their games.

FC Telavi have scored in 70% of their games.

Aragvi Dusheti kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

FC Telavi kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards